Friday, March 03, 2006

March Madness

As we near the end of the college basketball regular season there is a distinct difference between the upper pac ten teams (UCLA,UW,CAL,UA,STAN) and the lower tier teams (USC,ORE,WSU,ASU,OSU). This season all ten teams will be participating in the tournament. I expect the tourney results to mimic the regular season as there is virtually no shot at any of the lower tier teams to win a game except for USC.
First lets look at the contenders (who will be in the Big Dance)

UCLA-Ben Howland is back and this time he has UCLA primed for a conf championship and a legit shot at a 2 or 3 seed with a strong finish, the Bruins
have a good core of talent and offensive firepower, Farmar is the on the court leader and he has a host of playmakers at his disposal, UCLA transitions well and can score from all over the floor.

Washington-The Huskies score , score and score, they are fast, athletic and did I mention can score a lot of points. Led by Sr. Brandon Roy, this team has talent and post season experience, they should get further in the dance than last season.

CAL-The Bears have a great inside game, led by Leon Powe, and some power on the glass, they must get good play from their guards to compliment the size inside.

UA-The Cats have seemingly underachieved this season and have struggled on the road and with team chemistry, they have some great athletes, but must get better play from Shakur and hit the outside 3's to go deep in the tourney.

Stanford must win down the stretch and get to the conf championship IMO to make it to the tourney, the Cardinals 15-11 overall mark is a bubble set to burst without a late season run.

Heres how I see the seeding looking like right now:

UCLA (RPI 15) 23 wins : 3/4 seed
UW (RPI 30) 23 wins: 5/6 seed
UA (RPI 20) 18 wins: 7/8 seed
CAL (RPI 50) 17 wins: 8/9 seed

Bubble watch : Stanford

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